Tuesday, June 16, 2009

#iranelection

So, I haven't blogged anything about the Iran election as yet. Largely because it's hard to know what to say.

Was the election rigged? Of course; you don't beat up the opposition when you've legitimately won 2/3 of the vote. You sit there and wait it out.

Is there a possibility that things will degenerate as far as in China in '89? A very strong possibility, as far as I can tell. Students are gathering en masse in places where it wouldn't be terribly difficult to get a few tanks. It hasn't happened yet, but that doesn't mean it won't, if the regime becomes sufficiently embarrassed, afraid and/or angry.

Is information very hard to come by? Yes. In part because the mainstream media are falling down on the job -- which is somewhat self-inflicted, as many organizations have cut their Middle Eastern bureaus, but also somewhat not, as reports suggest that Iran is trying to limit the activities of foreign and domestic journalists -- but also in part because the situation is very chaotic and changing very quickly.

So, what is there to say? The best option is to follow Twitter (#iranelection or #GR88) and wait. (Unless, of course, you happen to be a highly-trained mercenary with your own helicopter and time to spare. In which case, you might want to head over to Tehran.)



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