So, can we please hold all the talk about how Stevie knows what he's doing? The man is flailing badly; only an idiot would have embroiled himself in a situation like this without carefully planning an escape route.
Tuesday, August 01, 2006
Stevie's on the ropes over the Middle East.
These polling results are crazy. Stevie's support on the Middle East issue is dropping like a stone, and a significant majority are convinced that he's taking his marching orders from Dubya. The man is in very dangerous territory here. If he changes his mind, he'll contradict his own "moral clarity" bullshit -- apparently, if you take a stand, even a wrong one, you demonstrate "moral clarity", which is better than "waffling" by refusing to reach a snap decision. On the other hand, if he tries to stick it out, he may take the party down with him -- indeed, polls are already showing that it's happening, as the Cons (who had been gaining ground) are now pretty much where they were after the last federal election. He's got to either change his mind or stick it out. Hence, it seems he can't win. His only hope, then, of even retaining a minority next time around will have to be to develop some domestic issues after this crisis evaporates from public consciousness -- and then campaign on those. It's a risky move, as if those domestic issues blow up in his face as well, the Cons will have nowhere to turn. But it's the only thing I can see him doing.